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British Columbia Provincial Election 2005
OPINION POLLS

 
Pollster Date Sample
Size
Error
Margin
LIB NDP GRN OTR Unde-
cided
Strategic Counsel May 9-11, 2005 1,000 3.1% 49% 36% 13% 2% n/a
Ipsos May 8-10, 2005 1,050 3.5% 47% 39% 11% 3% n/a
Mustel May 5-9, 2005 603 4.0% 45% 40% 12% 3% 11%
Ipsos April 23-26, 2005 1,050 3.5% 46% 39% 13% 3% 12%
Mustel April 5-11, 2005 624 3.9% 46% 38% 10% 6% 10%
Ipsos March 7-14, 2005 800 3.5% 46% 39% 12% 3% u/a
Mustel Feb 3-13, 2005 501 4.5% 46% 40% 10% 5% 11%
Mustel Nov 30-Dec 7, 2004 500 4.5% 40% 43% 8% 9% u/a
Ipsos Nov. 24-30, 2004 800 3.5% 44% 41% 12% 3% u/a
Mustel October 6-17, 2004 507 4.4% 45% 39% 12% 5% u/a
Ipsos Sept. 9-15, 2004 800 3.5% 44% 38% 16% 2% u/a
Ipsos July 5-7, 2004 800 3.5% 37% 38% 18% 7% 15%
Ipsos May 4-10, 2004 800 3.5% 37% 44% 11% 8% 23%
Ipsos March 1-7, 2004 800 3.5% 39% 42% 12% 7% 20%
Ipsos December 1-8, 2003 800 3.5% 41% 37% 14% 8% 17%
Ipsos September 2-9, 2003 800 3.5% 45% 31% 17% 7% 20%
Ipsos May 6-12, 2003 800 3.5% 44% 28% 18% 10% 22%
Ipsos March 3-10, 2003 800 3.5% 44% 30% 19% 7% 18%
Click on the name of the polling firm to access the corresponding press release (if available). The party name abbreviations used in the table above are: LIB = B.C. Liberal Party; NDP = New Democratic Party (B.C.); GRN = B.C. Green Party; OTR = All Other Parties.

Polls about the Electoral Reform Referendum

  • According to the lastest Ipsos-Reid Poll conducted April 23-26, 2005, two-thirds of British Columbians still know little (39%) or nothing (25%) about the proposed BC-STV propsoal on electoral reform. Only about one-third (36%) say that they know "a fair amount" about BC-STV, and just a tiny 4% know "a great deal" about BC-STV. The "Yes" side currently has a narrow 4-point lead over the "No" side in terms of voter support: 42% of BC residents intend to vote "Yes" to the referendum question, and 38% intend to vote "No". 18% of BC residents remain undecided, and 2% do not intend to vote a all on the referendum question. Support for the "Yes" side is highest among Green Party supporters (62%) and Vancouver Island residents (51%). Support for the "Yes" side also increases with knowledge of BC-STV.
  • Ipsos-Reid, February 21, 2005. According to this Ipsos-Reid poll, only half (50%) of British Columbians are aware of either the Citizens' Assembly or upcoming referenum. Nearly two-thirds (63%) of those aware of this issue say that they know "very little" or "nothing" about the proposed BC-STV electoral system. Of the 404 out of the original 800 people surveyed who had heard of the BC-STV, 51% are in favour and 23% are against BC-STV.
  • Nordic Research Group, April 28, 2005. According to Nordic Research, 32% intend to vote yes and 16% intend to note no on the referendum; 52% were undecided. Among the 39% of voters who feel informed about the proposed STV, 56% are in favour of STV, 20% against it, and only 24% remain undecided. An earlier poll conducted March 28-April 6 showed the yes side at 26%, no at 17% and undecided at 57%. The survey was conducted with a random sample of 805 voters, with results accurate to within 3.5% 19 times out of 20.

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