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OPINION POLLS
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| Pollster |
Date |
Sample
Size |
Error
Margin |
LIB |
NDP |
GRN |
OTR |
Unde-
cided |
| Strategic Counsel |
May 9-11, 2005 |
1,000 |
3.1% |
49% |
36% |
13% |
2% |
n/a |
| Ipsos |
May 8-10, 2005 |
1,050 |
3.5% |
47% |
39% |
11% |
3% |
n/a |
| Mustel |
May 5-9, 2005 |
603 |
4.0% |
45% |
40% |
12% |
3% |
11% |
| Ipsos |
April 23-26, 2005 |
1,050 |
3.5% |
46% |
39% |
13% |
3% |
12% |
| Mustel |
April 5-11, 2005 |
624 |
3.9% |
46% |
38% |
10% |
6% |
10% |
| Ipsos |
March 7-14, 2005 |
800 |
3.5% |
46% |
39% |
12% |
3% |
u/a |
| Mustel |
Feb 3-13, 2005 |
501 |
4.5% |
46% |
40% |
10% |
5% |
11% |
| Mustel |
Nov 30-Dec 7, 2004 |
500 |
4.5% |
40% |
43% |
8% |
9% |
u/a |
| Ipsos |
Nov. 24-30, 2004 |
800 |
3.5% |
44% |
41% |
12% |
3% |
u/a |
| Mustel |
October 6-17, 2004 |
507 |
4.4% |
45% |
39% |
12% |
5% |
u/a |
| Ipsos |
Sept. 9-15, 2004 |
800 |
3.5% |
44% |
38% |
16% |
2% |
u/a |
| Ipsos |
July 5-7, 2004 |
800 |
3.5% |
37% |
38% |
18% |
7% |
15% |
| Ipsos |
May 4-10, 2004 |
800 |
3.5% |
37% |
44% |
11% |
8% |
23% |
| Ipsos |
March 1-7, 2004 |
800 |
3.5% |
39% |
42% |
12% |
7% |
20% |
| Ipsos |
December 1-8, 2003 |
800 |
3.5% |
41% |
37% |
14% |
8% |
17% |
| Ipsos |
September 2-9, 2003 |
800 |
3.5% |
45% |
31% |
17% |
7% |
20% |
| Ipsos |
May 6-12, 2003 |
800 |
3.5% |
44% |
28% |
18% |
10% |
22% |
| Ipsos |
March 3-10, 2003 |
800 |
3.5% |
44% |
30% |
19% |
7% |
18% |
Click on the name of the polling firm to access the corresponding
press release (if available).
The party name abbreviations used in the table above
are: LIB = B.C. Liberal Party;
NDP = New Democratic Party (B.C.);
GRN = B.C. Green Party;
OTR = All Other Parties.
Polls about the Electoral Reform Referendum
- According to the lastest Ipsos-Reid
Poll conducted April 23-26, 2005, two-thirds of British Columbians
still know little (39%) or nothing (25%) about the proposed BC-STV
propsoal on electoral reform. Only about one-third (36%) say that they
know "a fair amount" about BC-STV, and just a tiny 4% know "a great
deal" about BC-STV. The "Yes" side currently has a narrow 4-point lead
over the "No" side in terms of voter support: 42% of BC residents
intend to vote "Yes" to the referendum question, and 38% intend to
vote "No". 18% of BC residents remain undecided, and 2% do not intend
to vote a all on the referendum question. Support for the "Yes" side
is highest among Green Party supporters (62%) and Vancouver Island
residents (51%). Support for the "Yes" side also increases with
knowledge of BC-STV.
- Ipsos-Reid, February 21, 2005. According to this Ipsos-Reid poll, only half (50%)
of British Columbians are aware of either the Citizens' Assembly or
upcoming referenum. Nearly two-thirds (63%) of those aware of this issue
say that they know "very little" or "nothing" about the proposed BC-STV
electoral system. Of the 404 out of the original 800 people surveyed who
had heard of the BC-STV, 51% are in favour and 23% are against BC-STV.
- Nordic Research Group, April 28, 2005. According to Nordic Research, 32% intend to vote yes and
16% intend to note no on the referendum; 52% were undecided.
Among the 39% of voters who feel informed about the proposed STV, 56% are in favour
of STV, 20% against it, and only 24% remain undecided. An earlier poll conducted
March 28-April 6 showed the yes side at 26%, no at 17% and undecided at 57%.
The survey was conducted with a random sample of 805 voters, with results accurate
to within 3.5% 19 times out of 20.
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