The 2009 UBC Election Stock Market is a financial market in which the ultimate values of the contracts being traded are based on the outcome of the next British Columbia Election to the Provincial Parliament in Victoria on Tuesday, May 12, 2009, and the electoral reform referendum which will be held on the same day. For details regarding the contracts being traded consult the information in the trader's manual.   C A N C E L L E D We regret to inform all interested participants that the Election Stock Market for the 2009 British Columbia Provincial Election and Electoral Reform Referendum on Tuesday, May 12, 2009, has been cancelled. Significant demands on Professor Antweiler's time due to his extensive set of teaching duties during March and April, as well as co-organizing a major academic conferencee in May, make it impossible for him to operate, monitor, and administer the UBC-ESM. [posted 2009-02-24]   The above market table is updated every 20 minutes. The image cycles through the four markets in 8-second steps. Click on the image to obtain a static version of the table.   Introduction [PDF] - this two page document summarizes what the election stock market is about. A much more detailed description can be found in our Trader's Manual [PDF]; click on the corresponding menu button on the left. Regarding trading data and questionnaire responses that may be used for research purposes by the UBC-ESM directors and investigators, participants in the UBC-ESM agree to the terms of reference in the Subject Information and Consent Form [PDF].   Market Today - see our market in action: current prices and predictions, updated every twenty minutes.   Market Activity - trading activity summarized for yesterday and since the UBC-ESM was launched, presented in tables and charts of the seats market, popular vote market, pluarlity market, and majority government market. We also provide a spreadsheet file with volume-weighted average prices to journalists and researchers.     Click on the market charts above and to the left to obtain high resolution PDF versions. More detailed charts are available on the Market Activity page. On that page, click on any of the stock symbols or market names to obtain longer-period market charts and charts with high/low/closing prices for individual contracts.   Voter Migration Matrix Election Forecasting Tool - predict the seats distribution by conjecturing the likely migration of voters between parties. (Due to re-districting, the number of constituencies is increasing from 79 to 85. The forecaster is currently using the 79 old constituencies because Elections BC has not yet produced a transposition table.   UBC-ESM News Coverage in the Media   • forthcoming   UBC-ESM News Releases   • forthcoming   Information about Political Parties   • B.C. Liberal Party   • B.C. New Democratic Party   • B.C. Green Party   Election News Coverage   • forthcoming   Other Useful Links   • Elections B.C.   • B.C. Electoral Boundaries Commission   • Citizens' Assembly on Electoral Reform   • BC-STV web site of Citizens' Assembly alumni.   • STV for BC: another "yes" campaign web site.   • FairVotingBC also campaigns for the "yes" side in the referendum.   • Know More Before You Vote: no compaign by Bill Tieleman and Bud Smith.   • Wikipedia entry: British Columbia general election, 2009.   Legal Disclaimers © 2012 Sauder School of Business, University of British Columbia.