Saskatchewan Provincial Election Forecaster
University of British Columbia
Faculty of Commerce and Business Administration

Saskatchewan 2003/2004 Provincial Election Forecaster

developed by Werner Antweiler


UBC Election Stock Market | Strategy and Business Economics Division | PACIFIC
1997 Federal Election Results | 1999 Saskatchewan Provincial Election Forecaster


Voter Migration Matrix

You must guess the probability with which a 1999 voter will vote for the same or other parties in 2003/2004. The sum of each row must not exceed one. If a row totals less than one, the remainder of the voters are considered abstaining. Once you have completed your guess of the voter migration matrix, press the FORECAST button. The forecaster program will apply your voter migration matrix to the 1999 election results to find out which party will win in each riding. Leaving the matrix unchanged will display the 1999 election results.

Probability to migrate
from party in 1999 ...
... to party in 2003/2004
NDPSPLIBPCOTR
NDP
SP
LIB
PC
OTR
Political parties: NDP New Democratic Party; SP Saskatchewan Party; LIB Liberal Party;
PC Progressive Conservative Party; OTR Others/Independent Candidates

Press to apply your voter migration matrix.
Press to set the voter migration matrix to the identity matrix.


For information on methodology and caveats, please see the UBC-ESM Election Forecaster Home Page


This hypertext page and the election forecasting software are © 1995-99 by Werner Antweiler.