Saskatchewan Provincial Election Forecaster
University of British Columbia
Faculty of Commerce and Business Administration

Saskatchewan 1999 Provincial Election Forecaster

developed by Werner Antweiler


UBC Election Stock Market | Strategy and Business Economics Division | PACIFIC
1997 Federal Election Results | 1996 B.C. Provincial Election Results
2001/02 Federal Election Forecaster | 2001 B.C. Provincial Election Forecaster


Voter Migration Matrix

You must guess the probability with which a 1995 voter will vote for the same or other parties in 1999. The sum of each row must not exceed one. If a row totals less than one, the remainder of the voters are considered abstaining. Once you have completed your guess of the voter migration matrix, press the FORECAST button. The forecaster program will apply your voter migration matrix to the 1995 election results to find out which party will win in each riding. Leaving the matrix unchanged will display the 1996 election results.

Probability to migrate
from party in 1995 ...
... to party in 1999
NDPLIBPCINDSP
NDP
LIB
PC
IND
Political parties: NDP New Democratic Party; LIB Liberal Party;
PC Progressive Conservative Party; IND Independent Candidates;
(and the newly-formed) SP Saskatchewan Party

Show results for individual constituencies:
Press to apply your voter migration matrix.
Press to set the voter migration matrix to the identity matrix.


For information on methodology and caveats, please see the UBC-ESM Election Forecaster Home Page


This hypertext page and the election forecasting software are © 1995-99 by Werner Antweiler.